I’ve been following Facebook since I called Mark Zuckerberg in 2004, a month after launch, and offered to buy the company (I was running Bolt at the time). In March, 2010, I published the first Wall Street style research report on Facebook on Tumblr, with a $100 billion five year price target (it was actively trading in the private […]
What is Bitcoin?
As Bitcoin starts to gain the attention of the broader population again, we continue to struggle as an industry to define what Bitcoin is in a way that’s accessible to most people. I recently attended a Bitcoin 101 class taught as part of the grand opening of the awesome Bitcoin Center Miami. It’s a great way to help […]
The Three Different Bitcoins
For most, Bitcoin remains an enigma. I think part of the difficulty in understanding Bitcoin is that it’s not just one thing. Bitcoin can be many things, depending on how you look at it. Depending on the prism you look at the world throug
Facebook is Dying, Libra Won’t Save It, and Wall Street is Clueless
I was the first person to call Mark Zuckerberg in 2004 and offer to buy the company (I was running Bolt at the time). In March, 2010, I published the first Wall Street style research report on Facebook on a Tumblr blog, with a $100 billion five year price target (it was actively trading in the private markets at […]
Bitcoin : The Worlds Best Store of Value, 2024 Price Target = $50,000
Target Price = $50,000 (assumes $1 Trillion valuation and 20,000,000 BTC, fully diluted) I’ve been around the block. In the 90s I was an equity analyst following media companies at Goldman Sachs. I loved it. But the internet came calling, and I jumped in. After my 2nd company, I became an angel investor and then a VC. […]
Why The Facebook Coin Could Be A Watershed Moment In Crypto
While I focus on crypto, I’ve written a lot about Facebook over the years. I was the original Facebook bull following the publication of the first Wall Street style research report on Facebook in March of 2010. In April of 2017, I started writing about “The Profound Implications of Five Increasingly Dominant Tech Companies” (Facebook, […]
The Reason That Bitcoin Popped and Uber Flopped
As of the writing of this post, Bitcoin is the top performing “asset class” of 2019 YTD, up 89% YTD. Bitcoin is up 22% in just the past week. And everyone wants to know why. The Markets Swing Between Bubbles And Crashes I have a word I use to describe the tendency of markets to become […]
Why Everyone Who Sees The Crypto Light Sees Something Different
I’ve written extensively about my experience seeing the crypto light, and why others struggle to see it. This post is about why, when people see the crypto light, everyone sees something different. The Blind Men & An Elephant The genesis of this post was the result of reading an interesting post by Casey Caruso “The five camps of crypto”. In […]
CryptoWinter Has Nothing On FAMGA Winter Market Cap Loss
Per CoinMarketCap, total crypto market capped peaked at $795.8 billion on January 7, 2018. Since that time, we’ve lost over $680 billion in market cap. We’re down over 85%. Crypto total market cap bottomed at $102 billion. So at the bottom, crypto had lost $692 billion. However, the total amount lost by FAMGA (my acronym […]
The US Dollar Is A Ponzi Scheme
Per Wikipedia, a Ponzi scheme …. is a form of fraud which lures investors and pays profits to earlier investors by using funds obtained from more recent investors This is how the U.S. government now operates. It loses massive amounts of money every year (i.e. runs at a deficit) and finances it with new debt. When […]
The Two Reasons Why The Forecasts For Bitcoin YE 2018 Were So Horribly Wrong
As the chart above shows, the biggest names in crypto all got 2018 horribly wrong. Why were they so wrong? I think they’re all smart guys and I applaud their work and the important contribution they’re making to the ecosystem. I think there are two main reasons why they’re so bad. 1. Accurately Predicting The […]